In recent years, the risk of a government shutdown has been high due to political polarization. Government shutdowns in the past, such as the one that occurred in December 2018 and January 2019 have all ended without much incident. But the risk to import flows to the USA are too big to ignore.

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In a "back to the future moment" there is renewed concern about a potential government shutdown as political leaders play a high stakes game of brinksmanship.See note below explaining Section 321.

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